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GDP Beats Expectations with Help from Consumer Spending

11/12/2018

 
Last week brought third quarter GDP results that narrowly beat economists’ expectations, thanks, in part, to strong annualized consumer spending and low inflation. The Personal Consumption Expenditure price index, which is used by the Fed, underperformed the Fed target in October. However, the Producer-Price Index grew 2.9% annually, driven by producer and supplier margin increases. The JOLT Survey revealed that job openings decreased slightly in September, while the economy yielded a significant net employment gain.

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Consumer Spending Drives September GDP Growth

10/31/2018

 
Last week, gross domestic product figures showed slightly stronger economic output, particularly driven by consumer spending. The personal consumption expenditures index missed the Federal Reserve’s inflation target for the fourth straight month. Also, unemployment applications increased for the week ending October 20, but continuing claims declined for the week.

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Consumer Confidence Hits 18-Year High

9/5/2018

 
​Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis updated its original estimate of second-quarter GDP growth, the U.S. Census Bureau announced the July trade deficit reversed its spring and summer trend to widen to a five-month high, and the Consumer Confidence Index for August spiked dramatically to an 18-year high. 

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Yield Curve Continues to Flatten Although Broader Economy Shows Strength

8/29/2018

 
​The spread between ten- and two-year treasuries flattened to its narrowest margin in more than a decade last week, falling as low as 0.19. The yield curve is a major market-driven economic leading indicator. The NY Fed’s reduction in their GDP estimate on Friday may have contributed to the decline. In other news, jobless claims fell slightly, once again showing continued strength of the labor market, and Creighton University released their monthly Mid-America Economic Index for the month of July and their Rural Mainstreet Index for the month of August. Both Creighton indices showed general economic strength but pointed to some concerns, including effects from trade wars. 

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Farms Show Signs of Struggle as the U.S. Reports Booming GDP Numbers

8/1/2018

 
​The Commerce Department reported a strong GDP reading of 4.1% in the second quarter of 2018. Contrarily, Great Plains farmers are seeing tougher access to credit as farm incomes continue to slump.

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Q1 2018 GDP Slips to 2.3% Annualized Growth from 2.9% in Q4 2017

5/2/2018

 
​Of all economic news last week, perhaps the most intriguing are the jobless claims and GDP reports. Jobless claims fell to the lowest level since 1961, and GDP for the first quarter of 2018 slipped on consumer spending weakness.

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Historically Low Jobless Claims & Strong GDP Results Amid Lower-Than-Expected 4Q17 Corporate Profits

4/5/2018

 
​Generally positive economic news, including record low jobless claims, overshadowed weakness in corporate profits in last week’s economic news, and markets became nerved over potential backlash from China regarding a potential trade war.

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​Services involving securities are offered through M&A Securities Group, Inc.4151 N Mulberry Drive Suite 252, Kansas City, MO, 64116  (“MAS") . Services involving real estate brokerage are offered through Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Ambassador Real Estate ("BHHS"). Skyline Advisors, MAS, and BHHS are separate entities. 
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